In a system you can't do just one thing...

Whenever serious problems such as globalization, peak oil, and global warming/climate change are discussed, people almost invariably assume that each of these issues and its associated problems can be considered and dealt with in isolation from all of the other issues and problems.  People think that, since any one problem is considered in isolation from all others, then things can't be too bad--after all every problem has a solution, right? Another assumption is that each of these "solutions" that are proposed will not affect--and certainly will not negatively influence--any of the other life-threatening problems that we are dealing with.

Yet nothing could be further from the truth.

This is because the world around us consists of a nested set of systems. Our human centered, globe-spanning political economy is one such system. It is in turn nested within our planetary web of life--our biosphere, which comprises another global system. The biosphere itself is nested within, and is closely coupled to, our planet's natural geological and hydrological cycles. Each of these systems directly affect the others, thus comprising an overall system of systems, which we usually think of as something like "the world out there."

All of these systems are interconnected, and that's why we can't do just one thing.  My book, "Infinity's Rainbow: The Politics of Energy, Climate and Globalization, explains this in clear and concise detail.

Consider for example, the unexpected inter-relationship between one solution being proposed for the problem of peak oil--that is, to build more nuclear power plants-- and the problem of climate change. 

Because of globalization, our globe-spanning industrial civilization is rapidly depleting our non-renewable hydrocarbon reserves upon which our civilization relies for its continued existence. Quickly building a lot of new nuclear power plants is now being proposed with increasing stridency as a "solution" to peak oil. 

But all nuclear power plants require vast volumes of water for cooling. Without a continuous supply of water, the nuclear plant can't continue to operate. The solution to this problem has appeared simple: Locate the plants in places where water is abundant, such as near rivers.

Enter global warming and climate change--which are direct consequences of the rapid burning of hydrocarbon fuels. Because of global warming, winters in temperate zones are becoming warmer. This means that more and more of winter precipitation falls as rain not as snow, and much of it simply evaporates away. Yet rivers are sustained by the year round gradual and continuous melting of mountain snow packs. As these snow packs decrease, the volume of water in their associated rivers also decrease. And global warming is also generating increasingly high summer heat waves, which act to further reduce the flow of these depleted rivers.

This has dire effects upon the availability of water that is needed for existing nuclear power plants, and upon the practicality of building additional nuclear power facilities. Consider this excerpt from the August 10, 2006 Christian Science Monitor:

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Nuclear power's green promise dulled by rising temps

Problems with Europe's nuclear plants have raised worries just as the energy was gaining support.

| Correspondent of The Christian Science Monitor

- Summer is exposing the chinks in Europe's nuclear power networks.

The extended heat wave in July aggravated drought conditions across much of Europe, lowering water levels in the lakes and rivers that many nuclear plants depend on to cool their reactors
As a result, utility companies in France, Spain, and Germany were forced to take some plants off line and reduce operations at others. Across Western Europe, nuclear plants also had to secure exemptions from regulations in order to discharge overheated water into the environment.Even with an exemption to environmental rules this summer, the French electric company, Electricité de France (EDF), normally an energy exporter, had to buy electricity on European spot market, a way to meet electricity demand.

The troubles of the nuclear industry did not end there. Sweden shut four of its 10 nuclear reactors after a short-circuit cut power at one plant on July 26, raising fears of a dangerous design flaw. One week later, Czech utility officials shut down one of the country's six nuclear reactors because of what they described as a serious mechanical problem that led to the leak of radioactive water.

The disruptions highlight some of the vulnerabilities of nuclear power, just at a time when its future was looking brighter in traditionally nuclear-shy parts of Europe. British Prime Minister Tony Blair, for example, has just launched a drive to promote nuclear as the key to making his country self-sufficient in energy.

But antinuclear activists have seized on nuclear plants' summer troubles as evidence of the energy's limitations.

Austrian protesters, including politicians, have demanded that the Czech reactor - which is located just over the border - be closed. In Germany, influential antinuclear groups reacted to Sweden's closures by calling for the closure of the country's 17 reactors, many of the same design.

"Global warming undermines the arguments we've always heard about nuclear power, that it doesn't damage the environment," says Stéphane Lhomme, spokesman for a French group, Sortir du Nucléaire, or Abandon Nuclear. "Nuclear is not saving us from climate change. It's in trouble because of climate change."

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Here we see that the consequences of one human caused activity, rapid burning of hydrocarbons, ripple through not only the system that comprises the globalized political economy, but also throughout the planet's living and physical systems as well, producing effects such as reduced flow in rivers. This effect interacts with our attempt to deal peak oil's effect on the global economic system, by increasing our use of nuclear power. But the lack of water for cooling will severely limit the operations of nuclear reactors.

In a system you can't do just one thing. Everything affects everything else in often surprising ways. Therefore, our assumptions about how to deal with global warming, peak oil, and the consequences of globalization, at best often must fail, and at worst, actually exacerbate the compounding, inter-reacting, existential problems we face.

We can't engineer our way out of this mess. Only a substantial lifestyle change will save us. I will be discussing this in my subsequent books, "The Foundations of Infinity's Rainbow" and "The Path Through Infinity's Rainbow."

 

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Comments

  • 10/29/2006 12:56 AM ziz wrote:
    Lord Patel has linked to your book page (and this blog) in a posting relating to biometric data being used to monitor schoolchildren in Scotland.
    Reply to this
  • 11/5/2006 10:20 PM Julian wrote:
    Nice post on interlinkages and the need for a whole systems approach to solving our world's problems. We have learnt in conservation management that an ecosystems (as opposed to species) approach is better. I look forward to reading your books! Check out my blog as well at http://ecopreneur.blogspot.com
    Reply to this
  • 12/7/2006 8:04 PM Garrett wrote:
    I am not a Doctor, nor do I actually have a completed degree. I do however, have serious interest in the world I live in and will hopefully be able to live in for the next 5 or so decades. The article was enlightening and I look forward to more of your work!
    Reply to this
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